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In the year 2026, at rush hour, your self-driving car abruptly shuts down right where it blocks traffic. You climb out to see gridlock down every street in view, then a news alert on your watch tells you that hackers have paralyzed all Manhattan traffic by randomly stranding internet-connected cars.

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Flashback to July 2019, the dawn of autonomous vehicles and other connected cars, and physicists have applied physics in a new study to simulate what it would take for future hackers to wreak exactly this widespread havoc by randomly stranding these cars. The researchers want to expand the current discussion on automotive cybersecurity, which mainly focuses on hacks that could crash one car or run over one pedestrian, to include potential mass mayhem.

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They warn that even with increasingly tighter cyber defenses, the amount of data breached has soared in the past four years, but objects becoming hackable can convert the rising cyber threat into a potential physical menace.

“Unlike most of the data breaches we hear about, hacked cars have physical consequences,” said Peter Yunker, who co-led the study and is an assistant professor in Georgia Tech’s School of Physics.

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It may not be that hard for state, terroristic, or mischievous actors to commandeer parts of the internet of things, including cars.

“With cars, one of the worrying things is that currently there is effectively one central computing system, and a lot runs through it. You don’t necessarily have separate systems to run your car and run your satellite radio. If you can get into one, you may be able to get into the other,”

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“Split up the digital network influencing the cars to make it impossible to access too many cars through one network,” said lead author Skanda Vivek, a postdoctoral researcher in Yunker’s lab. “If you could also make sure that cars next to each other can’t be hacked at the same time that would decrease the risk of them blocking off traffic together.”

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To figure out this number, we modeled a concept in physics called percolation. It’s the same thing that happens when you make pour-over coffee: As you pour water into grounds, the liquid slowly makes its way to the bottom while it starts to drip into your mug. That doesn’t happen if you only pour a few drops of water, but at some point, if you pour enough liquid, there’s almost a 100% chance that it will find a pathway to the bottom of the grounds. The point at which this happens is called the percolation point. When it comes to the car hacking scenario, 20% of cars on the road being hacked is the percolation point because it prevents a car from getting from the tip of Manhattan all the way up the island.

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References: https://www.news.gatech.edu/2019/07/29/hackers-could-use-connected-cars-gridlock-whole-cities

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Scientific paper: https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.100.012316

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